Short Pieces & Op-Eds

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Short Pieces & Op-Eds


“The best tribute we can pay to Navalny,” CNN.Com, February 17, 2024

“Democracy by Mistake,” Asterisk, 05, February, 2024

Prigozhin seemed to be living on borrowed time,” CNN.Com, August 24, 2023

“Welcome to the ‘looking-glass’ world of Putin’s Russia,” CNN.Com, July 10, 2023

“What Could Bring Putin Down?” Foreign Affairs, November 2, 2022

“Gorbachev Didn’t Set Out to Open the Door to Democracy,” Washington Post (The Monkey Cage) , September 2, 2022.

“6 Lessons the West Has Learned in the 6 Months after Russia's Invasion of Ukraine,” CNN.Com, August 23, 2022.

“What Putin and Xi Don’t Get About ‘Messy Democracy,” CNN.Com, June 27, 2022.

“Putin Unbound: How Repression at Home Presaged Belligerence Abroad,” Foreign Affairs, May/June 2022.

“In Words and Deeds, Putin Shows He’s Rejecting Even Soviet-era Borders,” Washington Post (The Monkey Cage) , February 25, 2022.

“Putin Isn’t Likely to Stop Here,” CNN.Com, February 24, 2022.

“Putin and Biden Are Already Locked in a War of Words,” CNN.Com, March 18, 2021.

“Putin Is under Pressure,” Tortoisemedia.com, February 17, 2021.

“The Belarus Crisis is a Problem for Moscow. Here’s How Putin Might Respond,” LA Times, August 21, 2020.

"A Sovereignty Full of Holes: Russian Perspectives on Putin’s Russia,” LA Review of Books, February 3, 2020.

"Why Vladimir Putin is Shaking up Russian,” CNN.com, January 15, 2020.

"Information Autocrats," with Sergei Guriev, Research Briefs in Economic Policy, Cato Institute, No.183, October 2, 2019.

"Is Democracy Really in Danger? The Picture is Not as Dire as You Think," Washington Post (The Monkey Cage) June 19, 2018. 

"Globalisation, Government Popularity, and the Great Skill Divide," with Cevat Giray Aksoy and Sergei Guriev, Vox.eu, May 8, 2018.

"How Putin's Regime is Both Authoritarian and Incompetent," Washington Post (The Monkey Cage) March 14, 2018.

"Putin's Pivot: Four New Features of Russian Foreign Policy," Russia Matters.org, March 14, 2018.

"Why the Poor Don't Vote to Soak the Rich," Washington Post (The Monkey Cage), February 27, 2018.

"Democracy by Mistake," Vox.eu, November 26, 2017.

"Putin: Trump's Most Dangerous Best Friend," CNN.com, December 11, 2016.

"Deal with Russia, But Don't Be Too Eager," The National Interest, December 6, 2016

"Does More Wealth Mean Less Political Corruption?" Washington Post, May 6, 2016

"Why Putin Took Crimea: The Gambler in the Kremlin," Foreign Affairs, May-June, 2016

"For Vladimir Putin, What's at Stake in Metrojet Investigation," CNN.com, November 6, 2015

"Searching for the Roots of Russia's Aggression," (review of books by Kalb, Laqueur, and Myers), The Washington Post, September 25, 2015

“Misperceiving Inequality,” with Vladimir Gimpelson, Research Briefs in Economic Policy, Cato Institute, No.32, August 12, 2015

"The New Dictators Rule by Velvet Fist," with Sergei Guriev, The New York Times, May 25, 2015

"The New Authoritarianism," with Sergei Guriev, Vox,eu, March 21, 2015

-Russian version in Vedomosti (Moscow) "Avtoritarizm v vek informatsii", March 25, 2015
-Spanish version in Prodavinci.com (Venezuela) "El Nuevo Autoritarismo; por Sergei Guriev y Daniel Treisman," March 28, 2015

"The Complicated Life--and Tragic Death--of Boris Nemtsov," CNN.com,, March 2, 2015

"Red Notice by Bill Browder, the Bullish Investor Brought Down by the Russian Bear," Washington Post, February 13, 2015

"Normal Countries: The East 25 Years After Communism," with Andrei Shleifer, Foreign Affairs, November-December 2014

-in Russian, “Normalnie Strany,” Rossia v globalnoi politike, Moscow, December 2014
-in Japanese, “
市場経済・民主主義は淘汰されたのか―― 旧共産圏改革に関する幻想と現実” January 2015

-Sources   -data (Stata)   -data (Excel)    -do file for data preparation   -do file for analysis

"Ukraine’s Strong Argument for Military Aid,” CNN.com, September 4, 2014.

"Vladimir Putin's Big Blunder," CNN.com, July 20, 2014

"Clock Is Ticking: Only Days to Solve the Crimea Crisis," CNN.com, March 8, 2014

"Watching Putin in Moscow: What Russians Think of the Intervention in Ukraine," Foreign Affairs.com, March 5, 2014

"Mozhet li nasilie pomoch uspekhu protesta? [Can violence help protests succeed?]," Vedomosti, with Anton Sobolev, March 6, 2014

"The Two Putins," CNN.com, March 3, 2014

"Vladimir Putin's Remarkable Comeback," CNN.com, February 3, 2014

"The Wrong Way to Punish Putin: How to Pressure Moscow Without Boosting the Kremlin and Alienating Russians," Foreign Affairs.com, August 8, 2013

"Snowden is an Unwanted Guest in Putin's Russia," CNN.com, August 2, 2013

"Why the Kremlin Hates Levada Center," The Moscow Times, May 24, 2013

"Recycling Old Soviet Chestnuts," Open Democracy, May 10, 2013

"The Other Russia: Discontent Grows in the Hinterlands," with Mikhail Dmitriev, Foreign Affairs, Sept-Oct 2012

"Opposition Needs to Appeal to the 'Real Russia'," The Moscow Times, May 5, 2012

“Why Russia Protects Syria’s Assad,” CNN.com, February 2, 2012

“A Runoff in March Could Help Legitimize Putin,” The Moscow Times, December 22, 2011

“Vote May Mark Beginning of the End for Putin,” CNN.com, December 6, 2011

“Putin and Medvedev, Trading Places,” CNN.com, September 26, 2011

"Does Russia Need a Tom Sawyer Strategy for Economic Growth?"
---To view Russian version published in Moskovskie Novosti, April 4, 2011
---To view German version published in Die Presse (Vienna), May 6, 2011

"Beyond Horror and Mystery," IWM-Post (Vienna), 2010-11

"Moscow Bombing Weakens Putin's Standing," CNN.com, January 27, 2011

"Medvedev and Putin, Brothers Under the Skin," CNN.com, January 7, 2011

"The US and Russia: They Don't Need Us," with Andrei Shleifer
---To view shorter version published in Foreign Affairs, Jan-Feb 2011

"What Keeps the Kremlin up All Night?" Moscow Times, Feb 18, 2008

"Putin’s Silovarchs," Orbis, Winter 2007

"A Normal Country," with Andrei Shleifer
--- To view shorter version published in Foreign Affairs, March-April 2004
--- To view longer NBER working paper
--- see also, "Next to its Peers, Russia Is Normal," International Herald Tribune, Feb 28, 2004

"Globalization and its Discontents," East European Constitutional Review, Spring 2003

"Russia Renewed?", Foreign Affairs, Nov-Dec 2002

"Revolutionary Russia," East European Constitutional Review, Fall 2002

"Clausewitz in Afghanistan," APSA-CP, Winter 2002

"Blaming Russia First," Foreign Affairs, November 2000

"Why Yeltsin Won: A Russian Tammany Hall," Foreign Affairs, Sept-Oct 1996