Articles

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Articles

Triggering Democracy, Annals of Comparative Democratization, September 2018 (other contributions to symposium on “Should Modernization Theory Survive” available here).

Misperceiving Inequality, with Vladimir Gimpelson, Economics & Politics, March 2018.
- Data and do files            -Online appendix

Russia’s Billionaires, American Economic Review (Papers and Proceedings), May 2016.

Foreword, in Alexei Navalny and Adam Michnik, Opposing Forces: Plotting the New Russia, London: Egret Press, 2016, ix-xxii.

Jurisdiction Size and Local Government Policy Expenditure: Assessing the Effect of Municipal Amalgamation, with Jens Blom-Hansen, Kurt Houlberg, and Soren Serritzlew, American Political Science Review, 110(4), November 2016, pp.812-31.

Income, Democracy, and Leader Turnover, American Journal of Political Science, 2015, 59(4): 927-42.
-Data and statistical analysis

What Does Crossnational Empirical Research Reveal About the Causes of Corruption? In Paul Heywood, ed., Routledge Handbook of Political Corruption, 2015.
- Data            - Do file

Twenty-five Years of Market Reform: The Political Economy of Change After Communism, in Anders Aslund and Simeon Djankov, eds., The Great Rebirth: Lessons from the Victory of Capitalism Over Communism, Peterson Institute for International Economics, 2014.
- Data            - Do file            - Statistical analysis

Putin's Popularity: Why Did Support for the Kremlin Plunge, then Stabilize? Post Soviet Affairs, 2014.

Can Putin Keep His Grip on Power? Current History, October 2013.

Corruption in the Post-Communist Transition, in Paul G. Hare and Gerard Turley, eds., Routledge Handbook on Transition, 2013.

Inequality: the Russian Experience, Current History, October 2012.

Twenty Years of Political Transition, Chapter in Gerard Roland, ed., Economies in Transition: The Long-Run View, Palgrave Macmillan, 2011.

Presidential Popularity in a Hybrid Regime: Russia under Yeltsin and Putin, American Journal of Political Science, 2011.
- Appendix            - Data            - Statistical analysis

Loans for Shares Revisited, Post-Soviet Affairs, July-September 2010.

Oil and Democracy in Russia, published as "Is Russia Cursed by Oil?" Journal for International Affairs, 63, 2, Spring-Summer 2010.

Russian Politics in a Time of Economic Turmoil, in Andrew Kuchins and Anders Aslund, eds., Russia After the Financial Crisis, Washington, Center for Strategic and International Studies, 2010.

Death and Prices: The Political Economy of Russia’s Alcohol Crisis, Economics of Transition, 18, 2, April 2010.
- Data      - Statistical analysis

Political Decentralization and Policy Experimentation, with Hongbin Cai, Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 1, 2009.

Political Decentralization and Corruption: Evidence from Around the World, with C. Simon Fan and Chen Lin, Journal of Public Economics, 93, 1-2, 2009.
- Excel     - Stata     - Statistical analysis 

Did Government Decentralization Cause China’s Economic Miracle? with Hongbin Cai, World Politics, July 2006.

What Have We Learned About the Causes of Corruption From Ten Years of Cross-National Empirical Research? Annual Review of Political Science, 2007.
- Data     - Statistical analysis

Explaining Fiscal Decentralization: Geography, Colonial History, Economic Development, and Political Institutions, Journal of Commonwealth and Comparative Politics, 44, 3, 2006.

Decentralization, Fiscal Incentives, and Economic Performance: A Reconsideration, Economics and Politics, July 2006, 18, 2, pp.219-35.

Ruble Politics: Evaluating Exchange Rate Management in 1990s Russia, in Timothy J. Colton and Stephen Holmes, eds., The State after Communism: Governance in the New Russia, Rowman and Littlefield, 2006, pp.187-224.

A Normal Country: Russia After Communism, with Andrei Shleifer, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 19, 1, Winter 2005, pp.151-74.

Does Competition for Capital Discipline Governments? Decentralization, Globalization, and Public Policy, with Hongbin Cai, American Economic Review, June 2005, 95(3): 817-30.

Rational Appeasement, journal article, shorter version International Organization, Spring 2004, 58(2): 345-73.
Proofs of Propositions 4 and 5

State Corroding Federalism, with Hongbin Cai, Journal of Public Economics, March 2004, 88, pp.819-43.

Fiscal Politics in Ethnically-Mined, Developing Federal States: Central Strategies and Secessionist Violence, book chapter, with Eduardo Aleman, in Philip Roeder and Donald Rothchild, eds., Sustainable Peace: Power and Democracy after Civil Wars, Cornell University Press, 2005, pp.173-216.

Stabilization Tactics in Latin America: Menem, Cardoso, and the Politics of Low Inflation, shorter version in Comparative Politics, July 2004, 36, 4, pp.399-420.

Cardoso, Menem, and Machiavelli: Political Tactics and Privatization in Latin America, Studies in Comparative International Development, Fall 2003, 38, 3, pp.93-109.

Postcommunist Corruption, chapter, in Jan Fidrmuc and Nauro Campos, eds., Political Economy of Transition and Development: Institutions, Politics, and Policies, Kluwer, 2003, pp.201-226.

Fiscal Games and Public Employment: A Theory With Evidence From Russia, with Vladimir Gimpelson, World Politics, 54, 2, January 2002, pp.145-83.

Political Business Cycles and Russian Elections, or the Manipulations of 'Chudar', with Vladimir Gimpelson, British Journal of Political Science, 31, April 2001, pp.225-46.

Decentralization and Inflation: Commitment, Collective Action, or Continuity?, American Political Science Review, 94, 4, December 2000, pp.837-57.

The Causes of Corruption: A Cross-National Study, Journal of Public Economics, 76(3), June 2000, pp.399-457.

Political Decentralization and Economic Reform: A Game Theoretic Analysis, American Journal of Political Science, April 1999.